March 2026 Behavioral Threat Analysis Center Bulletin
- Stephanie Schilling
- Mar 30
- 1 min read
I’m honored to be quoted in the March 2026 Behavioral Threat Analysis Center Bulletin on Threat Assessment & Management pathway models .
It’s especially meaningful to see the Pathway to Intended Violence (PIV) highlighted as a “behavioral map of escalation”—a concept I strongly believe is critical to effective threat assessment work.
One of the most important realities in this field is that risk is not always communicated directly. People of concern don’t always make threats. They don’t always say what they intend to do.
What pathway models allow us to do is articulate concern before harm occurs. They help us move beyond “something feels off” to identifying where someone may be along a progression of behavior—from grievance, to ideation, to planning, and beyond.
As the bulletin highlights, these models are not predictive tools—but they are incredibly valuable in helping multidisciplinary teams understand escalation and, most importantly, intervene early.
The goal is not to label people.
The goal is to move people off the pathway.
Grateful to be part of the ongoing conversation advancing threat assessment and management practices.
For a list of all the BTAC Bulletins visit: https://www.dcsa.mil/Counterintelligence-Insider-Threat/DITMAC/
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